Monday, December 18, 2023

Merry Christmas to all.




People blame God for everything but do nothing to do what He says. They get lost in their own worlds of work, home life, entertainment, etc, and when a bad thing happens … they blame God for it. Nobody reads The Book anymore, nobody has a clue what He requires of us. We abandoned God long ago, so why would He suddenly help us? By the way, these things have to happen, the prophecy speaks about it in the Bible. WORST times are yet to come. We are sinners and a punishment is upon us. So go ahead blame God.





In December of 1946, Strand Magazine published “A Christmas Sermon for Pagans” by C. S. Lewis. Anyone who has read Lewis extensively will recognize many of the themes within this short essay, primarily that the journey to Christianity for a post-Christian may quite possibly include a short passage through paganism (paganism as it really is, not as we sometimes foolishly imagine it). From the essay: “If the modern post-Christian view is wrong—and every day I find it harder to think it right—then there are three kinds of people in the world. (1) Those who are sick and don’t know it (the post-Christians). (2) Those who are sick and know it (Pagans). (3) Those who have found the cure. And if you start in the first class you must go through the second to reach the third. For (in a sense) all that Christianity adds to Paganism is the cure. It confirms the old belief that in this universe we are up against Living Power: that there is a real Right and that we have failed to obey it: that existence is beautiful and terrifying. It adds a wonder of which Paganism had not distinctly heard—that the Mighty One has come down to help us, to remove our guilt, to reconcile us”

To date, this piece has not been included in any published collection of Lewis essays. It was only discovered several years ago. I have a copy and thought all Lewisians would enjoy seeing the essay and reading a transcription (included below).

Merry Christmas to all. Thanks be to God that because of King Jesus, we need never lament that it is always winter and never Christmas. Rather, it is always Christmas, always Immanuel, always God-with-us, no matter what the weather.

“A Christmas Sermon for Pagans” by C. S. Lewis

Strand magazine, Vol. 112, Issue 672, December 1946 

Writing religion for sceptics has made C. S. Lewis a best-seller. His books on Christianity—chief among them “The Screwtape Letters”—sell better, and read more easily, than most crime stories. This sermon is a characteristic piece of writing by the Oxford don who has become the most entertaining missionary of our time.

//

When I was asked to write a Christmas sermon for Pagans I accepted the job lightheartedly enough: but now that I sit down to tackle it I discover a difficulty. Are there any Pagans in England for me to write to?

I know that people keep on telling us that this country is relapsing into Paganism. But they only mean it is ceasing to be Christian. And is that at all the same thing? Let us remember what a Pagan or Heathen (I use the words interchangeably) really was.

A “Heathen” meant a man who lived out on the heath, out in the wilds. A “Pagan” meant a man who lived in a Pagus or small village. Both words, in fact, meant a “rustic” or “yokel.” They date from the time when the larger towns of the Roman Empire were already Christianised, but the old Nature religions still lingered in the country. Pagans or Heathens were the backward people in the remote districts who had not yet been converted, who were still pre-Christian.

To say that modern people who have drifted away from Christianity are Pagans is to suggest that a post-Christian man is the same as a pre-Christian man. And that is like thinking that a woman who has lost her husband is the same sort of person as an unmarried girl: or that a street where the houses have been knocked down is the same as a field where no house has yet been built. The ruined street and the unbuilt field are alike in one respect: namely that neither will keep you dry if it rains. But they are different in every other respect. Rubble, dust, broken bottles, old bedsteads and stray cats are very different from grass, thyme, clover, buttercups and a lark singing overhead.

Now the real Pagan differed from the post-Christian in the following ways. Firstly, he was religious. From the Christian point of view he was indeed too religious by half. He was full of reverence. To him the earth was holy, the woods and waters were alive. His agriculture was a ritual as well as a technique. And secondly, he believed in what we now call an “Objective” Right or Wrong. That is, he thought the distinction between pious and impious acts was something which existed independently of human opinions: something like the multiplication table which Man had not invented but had found to be true and which (like the multiplication table) he had better take notice of. The gods would punish him if he did not.

To be sure, by Christian standards, his list of “Right” or “Wrong” acts was rather a muddled one. He thought (and the Christians agreed) that the gods would punish him for setting the dogs on a beggar who came to his door or for striking his father: but he also thought they would punish him for turning his face to the wrong point of the compass when he began ploughing. But though his code included some fantastic sins and duties, it got in most of the real ones.

And this leads us to the third great difference between a Pagan and a post-Christian man. Believing in a real Right and Wrong means finding out that you are not very good. The Pagan code may have been on some points a low one: but it was too high for the Pagan to live up to. Hence a Pagan, though in many ways merrier than a modern, had a deep sadness. When he asked himself what was wrong with the world he did not immediately reply, “the social system,” or “our allies,” or “education.” It occurred to him that he himself might be one of the things that was wrong with the world. He knew he had sinned. And the terrible thing was that he thought the gods made no difference between voluntary and involuntary sins. You might get into their bad books by mere accident, and once in, it was very hard to get out of them. And the Pagan dealt with this situation in a rather silly way. His religion was a mass of ceremonies (sacrifices, purifications, etc.) which were supposed to take away guilt. But they never quite succeeded. His conscience was not at ease.

Now the post-Christian view which is gradually coming into existence—it is complete already in some people and still incomplete in others—is quite different. According to it Nature is not a live thing to be reverenced: it is a kind of machine for us to exploit. There is no objective Right or Wrong: each race or class can invent its own code or “ideology” just as it pleases. And whatever may be amiss with the world, it is certainly not we, not the ordinary people; it is up to God (if, after all, He should happen to exist), or to Government or to Education, to give us what we want. They are the shop, we are the customers: and “the customer is always right.”

Now if the post-Christian view is the correct one, then we have indeed waked from a nightmare. The old fear, the old reverence, the old restraints—how delightful to have waked up into freedom, to be responsible to no one, to be utterly and absolutely our own masters! We have, of course, lost some fun. A universe of colourless electrons (which is presently going to run down and annihilate all organic life everywhere and forever) is, perhaps, a little dreary compared with the earth-mother and the sky-father, the wood nymphs and the water nymphs, chaste Diana riding the night sky and homely Vesta flickering on the hearth. But one can’t have everything, and there are always the flicks and the radio: if the new view is correct, it has very solid advantages. 

But is it? And if so, why are things not going better? What do you make of the present threat of world famine? We know now that it is not entirely due to the war. From country after country comes the same story of failing harvests: even the whales have less oil. Can it be that Nature (or something behind Nature) is not simply a machine that we can do what we like with?—that she is hitting back?

Waive that point. Suppose she is only a machine and that we are free to master her at our pleasure. Have you not begun to see that Man’s conquest of Nature is really Man’s conquest of Man? That every power wrested from Nature is used by some men over other men? Men are the victims, not the conquerors in this struggle: each new victory “over Nature” yields new means of propaganda to enslave them, new weapons to kill them, new power for the State and new weakness for the citizen, new contraceptives to keep men from being born at all.

As for the ideologies, the new invented Wrongs and Rights, does no one see the catch? If there is no real Wrong and Right, nothing good or bad in itself, none of these ideologies can be better or worse than another. For a better moral code can only mean one which comes nearer to some real or absolute code. One map of New York can be better than another only if there is a real New York for it to be truer to. If there is no objective standard, then our choice between one ideology and another becomes a matter of arbitrary taste. Our battle for democratic ideals against Nazi ideals has been a waste of time, because the one is no better than the other. Nor can there ever be any real improvement or deterioration: if there is no real goal you can’t get either nearer to it or farther from it. In fact, there is no real reason for doing anything at all.

It looks to me, neighbours, as though we shall have to set about becoming true Pagans if only as a preliminary to becoming Christians. I don’t mean that we should begin leaving little bits of bread under the tree at the end of the garden as an offering to the Dryad. I don’t mean that we should dance to Dionysus across Hampstead Heath (though perhaps a little more solemn or ecstatic gaiety and a little less commercialised “amusement” might make our holidays better than they now are). I don’t even mean (though I do very much wish) that we should recover that sympathy with nature, that religious attitude to the family, and that appetite for beauty which the better Pagans had. Perhaps what I do mean is best put like this.

If the modern post-Christian view is wrong—and every day I find it harder to think it right—then there are three kinds of people in the world. (1) Those who are sick and don’t know it (the post-Christians). (2) Those who are sick and know it (Pagans). (3) Those who have found the cure. And if you start in the first class you must go through the second to reach the third. For (in a sense) all that Christianity adds to Paganism is the cure. It confirms the old belief that in this universe we are up against Living Power: that there is a real Right and that we have failed to obey it: that existence is beautiful and terrifying. It adds a wonder of which Paganism had not distinctly heard—that the Mighty One has come down to help us, to remove our guilt, to reconcile us.

All of the world men and women will meet on December 25th to do what is a very old-fashioned and, if you like, a very Pagan thing—to sing and feast because a God has been born. You are uncertain whether it is more than a myth. Well if it is, then our last hope is gone. But is the opposite explanation not worth trying?

Who knows but that here, and here alone, lies your way back not only to Heaven, but to Earth too, and to the great human family whose oldest hopes are confirmed by this story that does not die?

Merry Christmas.

Wednesday, December 13, 2023

Inflation Reduction Act provisions related to renewable energy




U.S. wind and solar power generators are projected to produce more electricity than coal next year for the first time, according to a new outlook released by the U.S. Energy Information Administration on Tuesday. Solar additions are expected to reach 23 gigawatts this year and 37 gigawatts in 2024, leading to a 15 percent increase in generation in 2023 and a projected 39 percent increase next year, according to EIA. The solar industry has projected it could see a jump of 32 gigawatts, or more than 50 percent in year-over-year growth, in new installations thanks to incentives from the Inflation Reduction Act. That output from the two renewable sources will surpass the production of coal-fired power in 2024 by nearly 90 billion kilowatt hours as a wave of new solar and wind projects come online.


The Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 is the most significant climate legislation in U.S. history, offering funding, programs, and incentives to accelerate the transition to a clean energy economy and will likely drive significant deployment of new clean electricity resources. Most provisions of the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 became effective 1/1/2023.


The Inflation Reduction Act incentives reduce renewable energy costs for organizations like Green Power Partners – businesses, nonprofits, educational institutions, and state, local, and tribal organizations. Taking advantage of Inflation Reduction Act incentives, such as tax credits, is key to lowering GHG emission footprints and accelerating the clean energy transition.’


Here’s how the Inflation Reduction Act's new direct pay and transfer options allow more organizations to utilize clean energy tax credits for equipment placed in service on or after January 1, 2023, and through December 31, 2032:


The direct pay option allows certain non-taxable entities to directly monetize certain tax credits for entities such as state, local, and tribal governments, rural electric cooperatives, the Tennessee Valley Authority, and others to directly monetize specific tax credits including many renewable energy credits such as the ITC ) and the PTC. Applicable entities may elect to treat these tax credits as refundable payments of tax. Such entities are eligible to receive a direct payment from the IRS for any amount paid more than their tax liability for credits.

The Inflation Reduction Act also allows eligible taxpayers who are not tax-exempt entities to transfer all or a portion of certain tax credits, including the ITC and PTC, to an unrelated party.

The US Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), which marked its first anniversary in August, is driving investment in clean energy with a broad range of tax incentives.

 

A total of 280 clean energy projects have been announced across 44 US states in the IRA’s first year, representing $282 billion of investment.

 

Companies discussing the IRA along with hydrogen fuel and infrastructure on earnings calls indicated a strong potential to invest, with 70% of mentions including a target or project numbers.


When the Biden administration marked the first anniversary of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) in mid-August this year, it rolled out some big numbers to demonstrate the impact of the legislation. In response to the act’s clean-energy and climate provisions, companies had announced more than $110 billion in new clean-energy manufacturing investments since the IRA became law, according to the White House. That includes over $70 billion in the electric vehicle (EV) supply chain and about $10 billion in solar manufacturing.   


The IRA has been surrounded by big claims—and intense criticism—from the start. When he signed the bill into law in 2022, President Biden hailed it as “the biggest step forward on climate ever.” To spur investment, the IRA relies on a package of tax incentives intended to accelerate the deployment of clean energy as well as clean vehicles, buildings, and manufacturing. These include tax credits for investment in renewable energy projects and facilities that generate clean electricity. The law provides tax breaks for the manufacturing of components for solar and wind energy, inverters, battery components, and critical minerals. It also sets out production tax credits for renewable and clean electricity as well as power from qualified nuclear facilities.   


Republicans have leveled a wide range of criticisms at the law, which passed both houses of Congress in party-line votes. Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell, for example, has called the IRA a “reckless taxing and spending spree” that will have “no meaningful impact on the world's climate.” Other critics charge that the IRA benefits foreign companies in countries such as China. In particular, the law's incentives for the purchase of EVs have faced pushback, and not just from Republicans. Sen. Joe Manchin, a Democrat who co-sponsored the IRA but has criticized the administration's implementation of the law, said he would oppose a rush to mass adoption of EVs while China controls the supply of critical minerals required for their production.   




One year after the launch of the IRA, we drilled down into the data to understand the investment response underlying the official optimism. What we found was that—so far at least—the reality is living up to or even exceeding expectations. Analysis based on public announcements tracked by the American Clean Power Association (ACP), Climate Power, and E2 show that 280 clean energy projects were announced across 44 US states in the IRA’s first year. These projects represent $282 billion in investment and are expected to create nearly 175,000 jobs. 


To find out which companies are talking about the IRA and what future projects they may be considering, we also examined earnings calls using Natural Language Processing. Solar energy was the clean-energy topic most often mentioned in combination with the IRA on these calls, followed by carbon capture and storage, and batteries and energy storage.   The evidence of the IRA’s impact is mounting, but if the law is to achieve the goals set out by its supporters, challenges will have to be overcome. These include delays in connecting renewable energy projects to the grid and the potential for rising project costs, which could in turn push up the IRA's final price tag. 


Estimating the total bill for the IRA is difficult because most of the spending under the law comes in the form of uncapped tax breaks, meaning the cost will increase as more companies and households take advantage of the incentives. Initial cost estimates tended to range between $370 billion, a figure cited regularly by the White House,11 to $391 billion, calculated by the Congressional Budget Office.  


The IRA’s potential to boost US development and production of clean-energy technology critical to the sustainable energy transition has been widely touted since its inception. The law provides the most supportive regulatory environment in clean-tech history, potentially driving results including the first large-scale deployment of green hydrogen and carbon capture, according to Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research (GIR). The IRA’s incentives could potentially help the US gain a larger share of the global clean-tech market, where China now dominates the manufacturing and trade of most technologies.