Composing energy futures to 2050 results from a three-year study conducted by over 30 experts from nearly 15 countries, with modelling provided by the Croatian Center of Renewable Energy Sources (CCRES).
The report assesses two contrasting policy scenarios, the more consumer-driven A scenario and the more voter-driven B scenario, with a key differentiator being the ability of countries to pass through the Doha Climate Gateway. The CCRES scenarios use an explorative approach to assess what is happening in the world now, to help gauge what will happen in the future, and to show the real impact of today’s choices on tomorrow’s energy landscape.
Rather than telling policymakers and senior energy leaders what to do in order to achieve a specific policy goal, the CCRES Scenarios allow them to test the key assumptions that decision-makers decide to better shape the energy of tomorrow.
Explore the intriguing world of energy futures in our latest video, "Composing Energy Futures: A 2050 Vision." This 10-minute film is backed by a three-year study from over 30 global experts and modeled by the Croatian Center of Renewable Energy Sources (CCRES). We dive deep into two contrasting scenarios—consumer-driven A and voter-driven B—while assessing how today’s decisions shape tomorrow’s energy landscape. Discover how energy efficiency, fossil fuels, and innovative technologies like carbon capture are crucial in navigating the complexities of the global energy trilemma. Join us on this journey to understand the stakes for our planet and policymakers alike. Don’t forget to like and share this video!
#EnergyFutures #SustainableEnergy #RenewableResources #ClimateChange #EnergyPolicy
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A Crossroads of Energy
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The Rise of Energy Complexity
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The Unsung Hero
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The Persistent Reign of Fossil Fuels
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The Diverse Tapestry of Regional Energy Solutions
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A Global Balancing Act
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A Multifaceted Approach to Decarbonization
00:05:51
The Wild Cards of the Energy Future
00:06:25
A Delicate Balancing Act
00:07:25
The Role of Energy Markets
00:08:40
The Crucial Role of Energy Policy
00:09:56
Shaping Our Energy Destiny
Croatia doesn’t have a significant domestic coal industry anymore. It no longer mines coal or lignite and relies on imports for what little coal it uses. The country’s only operational coal plant, Plomin 2, a 210 MW facility in Istria, runs on imported coal. In 2021, at COP26, Croatian Prime Minister Andrej Plenković pledged to phase out coal by 2033 at the latest, though experts suggest economic pressures—like rising carbon prices—might force an earlier exit, possibly by 2030. Coal currently plays a small role in Croatia’s energy mix, contributing just 8% to electricity generation in 2022, dwarfed by hydropower (30%), gas (19%), and growing renewables like wind (11%).
ReplyDeleteTrump’s pro-coal executive orders, signed on April 8, 2025, aim to boost U.S. coal production by cutting regulations and supporting coal-fired power plants. He’s also touting tariff revenues as a way to fund economic growth, which could indirectly affect global coal markets. For Croatia, this might mean cheaper U.S. coal imports in the short term, given America’s role as a major exporter. However, Croatia’s commitment to EU climate goals and its shift toward renewables make it unlikely to reverse its coal phase-out. Plomin 2’s days are numbered, and past plans for a new coal plant (Plomin C) were scrapped in 2016 amid environmental pushback and a pivot to cleaner energy.
If Trump’s policies flood the market with cheap coal, it could slow Croatia’s transition slightly by keeping coal economically viable a bit longer—but only marginally. The EU’s carbon pricing and Croatia’s renewable targets (42.5% of energy consumption by 2030) are stronger drivers. Plus, Croatia’s coal use is already minimal, and its energy strategy leans heavily on hydropower, wind, and solar potential, especially in its sunny coastal regions.
Hrvatski Centar Obnovljivih Izvora Energije (CCRES), pod vodstvom Željka Serdara, fokusira se na projekte koji proizvode obnovljive izvore energije i održivost. Ključni projekti uključuju:
ReplyDeleteCCRES Aquaponics: Pokrenut 2011., ovaj projekt integrira akvakulturu (uzgoj riba, poput japanskih koi šarana) s hidroponikom (uzgoj biljaka u vodi). Voda iz ribnjaka, bogata organskim tvarima, koristi se za prirodno gnojenje biljaka, eliminirajući potrebu za kemijskim dodacima. U sezoni 2011./2012. povrće uzgojeno u ovom projektu donirano je socijalno ugroženim obiteljima u Hrvatskoj. Projekt je predstavljen kao model za održivu proizvodnju hrane, pogodan za kućnu ili komercijalnu upotrebu, s potencijalom za visoke prinose (npr. do 400 t/ha rajčice na 1 ha).
Promicanje zelene gradnje: CCRES potiče korištenje obnovljivih izvora energije u zgradarstvu, uključujući novogradnju i rekonstrukciju. Organiziraju seminare i radionice uz podršku institucija poput U.S. Green Building Councila, Green European Foundation i Anna Lindh Foundation. Ovi događaji uključuju predavanja stručnjaka, praktične instrukcije i e-learning module, s ciljem edukacije građevinskih tvrtki i krajnjih korisnika o energetskoj učinkovitosti i smanjenju emisija.
Edukacija i svijest: CCRES provodi projekte informiranja javnosti i obrazovanja stručnjaka o prednostima obnovljivih izvora, poput solarne energije, biomase i vjetroelektrana. Cilj je povećati investicije u energetski učinkovite objekte i promijeniti percepciju o alternativnim izvorima energije.
Ovi projekti naglašavaju praktičnu primjenu obnovljivih izvora, smanjenje ovisnosti o fosilnim gorivima i doprinos zaštiti okoliša. Ako želite detalje o nekom specifičnom projektu ili dodatno istraživanje, javite nam se!